The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Act, 1934 was amended In May 2016 to provide a statutory basis for the implementation of the flexible inflation-targeting framework. This amended Act also provides the inflation target to be set by the Government of India, in consultation with the Reserve Bank, once every five years.

 

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The existing inflation targeting framework will run out on March 31, 2021. This means that the government has less than five months to either set a new target or decide to run with the existing range. According to a senior Finance Ministry official: No call has yet to be taken on the new range or to continue with the existing range. Several factors need to be considered before arriving at a new range to be followed from April 1, 2021, or deciding to continue with the existing range.

The Central Government has notified about a 4% Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation as the target for the period from August 5, 2016, to March 31, 2021, with the upper tolerance limit of 6% and the lower tolerance limit of 2%. However, according to the expert’s opinion, the present range of 4% having a 2% swing in both directions, should be continued accordingly. According to them, events like the pandemic should not influence target resetting.

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